UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Preux
56%
Nzechukwu
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nzechukwu
This is a genuine toss-up — Preux at 44% vs Nzechukwu at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nzechukwu has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Preux's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nzechukwu has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Preux
Nzechukwu
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
80"
Reach
+83"
43
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Preux
Nzechukwu
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.7
60.3
50.2
Performance Avg
53.2
48
Quality of Victory
51
72
Momentum Score
88
Preux
Nzechukwu
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
58
Head
46
15
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
61Distance43
11Clinch12
1Ground0
Preux
Nzechukwu
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Preux
Nzechukwu
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/45 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Preux
Nzechukwu
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
88
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Preux
Nzechukwu
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
88%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Preux
Nzechukwu
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
PreuxNzechukwu
Strike Zones
Preux
Attacking
73 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedNzechukwu
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
73 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Preux targets the head (79% of attacks) — Nzechukwu absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Nzechukwu targets the head (84% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Preux
RND
Nzechukwu
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Preux · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Nzechukwu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Philipe LinsRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
Nzechukwu · Last 5
Upcoming
Marcus BuchechaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Chris BarnettRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

