UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Berlin, Germany
31 May 2014
Middleweight
VS
26%
Barnatt
74%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LB
Luke Barnatt
"The Bigslow"
13 – 4
6'6"77" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
Sean
Sean Strickland
31 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Strickland

Strickland is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Strickland has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barnatt
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
76"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barnatt
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
57.7
46.9
Performance Avg
50.9
45
Quality of Victory
37
82
Momentum Score
100
Barnatt
Strickland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
13
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance13
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Barnatt
Strickland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barnatt
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
46
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Barnatt
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Barnatt
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barnatt
Strickland
Striking4.3 / 4.2Volume3.7 / 6.8Grappling3.5 / 2.0Wrestling2.4 / 1.4Submission3.3 / 0.6Pressure6.2 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Barnatt
Strike Zones
Strickland
Barnatt
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Strickland
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barnatt targets the head (70% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (93% of attacks) — Barnatt absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barnatt
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0

Barnatt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.2W5.0W6.6L5.5L5.5L2013-042013-102014-032014-052014-112015-05
WinLossTrend

Strickland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5W4.5W6.6L4.7W2.0L5.2W4.5W6.6W4.5W4.5W5.4W3.6L6.5L5.9W5.9W5.9W7.4L5.5W7.4L6.7W6.4W2014-032017-112022-022024-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Barnatt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mark MunozRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Roger NarvaezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Mats NilssonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
W · Sub · R2
Andrew CraigRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10

Strickland · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Luke Barnatt · Sean Strickland
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