UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
22 May 2021
Heavyweight
VS
33%
Rothwell
67%
Barnett
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barnett
Barnett holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Rothwell has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barnett has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rothwell's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barnett has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rothwell
Barnett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'9"
78"+
Reach
75"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rothwell
Barnett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.0
55.9
49.7
Performance Avg
46.3
48
Quality of Victory
55
45
Momentum Score
65
Rothwell
Barnett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
10
2
Body
3
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
30Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rothwell
Barnett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rothwell
Barnett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/53 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Rothwell
Barnett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Rothwell
Barnett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rothwell
Barnett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
RothwellBarnett
Strike Zones
Rothwell
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBarnett
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rothwell targets the head (90% of attacks) — Barnett absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Barnett targets the head (59% of attacks) — Rothwell absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rothwell
RND
Barnett
0/0R00/0
Rothwell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Barnett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Rothwell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Chris BarnettRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R2
Stefan StruveRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
Barnett · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabRating 6Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jake CollierRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
W · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11