UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Dallas, USA
13 May 2017
Middleweight
VS
66%
Jotko
34%
Branch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jotko
Jotko holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Branch has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jotko has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jotko's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Branch has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jotko
Branch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
+78"
36+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jotko
Branch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.7
11.9
42.8
Performance Avg
38.0
28
Quality of Victory
34
60
Momentum Score
36
Jotko
Branch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.5
38%
Strike Accuracy
38%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
5
Body
5
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance10
6Clinch2
0Ground0
Jotko
Branch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jotko
Branch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/30 fights
Chin rating based on
9/28 fights
Jotko
Branch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
36
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Jotko
Branch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jotko
Branch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
JotkoBranch
Strike Zones
Jotko
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedBranch
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jotko targets the head (58% of attacks) — Branch absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Branch targets the head (42% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jotko
RND
Branch
0/0R00/0
Jotko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Branch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Jotko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Misha CirkunovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Branch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 2.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05