UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Welterweight
VS
96%
Ponzinibbio
4%
Stahl
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ponzinibbio
Ponzinibbio is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ponzinibbio has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Ponzinibbio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ponzinibbio
Stahl
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ponzinibbio
Stahl
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
2.1
50.5
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Ponzinibbio
Stahl
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
37%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
5
6
Body
4
7
Leg
5
RangeRange
45Distance14
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Ponzinibbio
Stahl
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ponzinibbio
Stahl
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Ponzinibbio
Stahl
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Ponzinibbio
Stahl
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
Stahl
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PonzinibbioStahl
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
48 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedStahl
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
48 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (73% of attacks) — Stahl absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Stahl targets the head (36% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 36% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
Stahl
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Stahl · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Stahl · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
