UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
Anaheim, USA
29 Jul 2017
Lightweight
VS
19%
Burkman
81%
Dober
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:04
JB
CFR 14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dober
Dober is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Dober throws more volume but Burkman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Burkman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dober has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Burkman
Dober
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
46
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Burkman
Dober
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
59.9
34.7
Performance Avg
53.2
36
Quality of Victory
50
80
Momentum Score
100
Burkman
Dober
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
4
Body
4
3
Leg
6
RangeRange
7Distance9
4Clinch5
0Ground1
Burkman
Dober
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Burkman
Dober
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/44 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Burkman
Dober
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Burkman
Dober
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
11
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burkman
Dober
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
BurkmanDober
Strike Zones
Burkman
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedDober
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burkman targets the head (36% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Dober targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burkman
RND
Dober
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Burkman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Dober · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Burkman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02