The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2016
Featherweight
VS
85%
Maynard
15%
Bruno
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GM
Gray Maynard
137
5'9"70" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
FB
Fernando Bruno
"Acougueiro"
154
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrs5'6"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maynard

Maynard is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Maynard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.

Bruno has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maynard's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Maynard
Bruno
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Maynard
Bruno
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
2.4
41.4
Performance Avg
0.0
28
Quality of Victory
0
60
Momentum Score
0
Maynard
Bruno
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
58%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
8
2
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance7
4Clinch1
5Ground0
Maynard
Bruno
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maynard
Bruno
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/19 fights
Maynard
Bruno
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Maynard
Bruno
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maynard
Bruno
Striking2.1 / 0.0Volume8.5 / 0.0Grappling2.2 / 0.0Wrestling1.5 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Maynard
Strike Zones
Bruno
Maynard
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Bruno
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maynard targets the head (55% of attacks) — Bruno absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Bruno targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maynard absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maynard
RND
Bruno
0/0R00/0

Maynard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W3.4L5.0W1.5L1.5L2.8L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W2.8L2007-092009-092013-052016-122018-10
WinLossTrend

Bruno · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.5L2015-082016-07
WinLossTrend

Maynard · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nik LentzRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Ryan HallRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Fernando BrunoRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexander YakovlevRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04

Bruno · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Glaico Franca MoreiraRating 4
Submission
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08

News & Media

Gray Maynard · Fernando Bruno
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