METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Middleweight
VS
53%
Shahbazyan
47%
Hernandez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:01
Edmen
Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
16 – 5
6'2"75" reachOrthodox28 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 62
Anthony
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
15 – 3
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Anthony HernandezwinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:01
def. Edmen Shahbazyan · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shahbazyan
→
Actual result
Hernandez wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Shahbazyan at 53% vs Hernandez at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Shahbazyan's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ShahbazyanHernandez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.0
55.8
54.6
Performance Avg
53.9
51
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
65
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
7.5
3.0
Style: Volume
3.2
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
20
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground19
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
5.6
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
78%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
5
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Striking7.9 / 3.6Volume3.0 / 3.2Grappling1.4 / 5.0Wrestling1.0 / 3.5Submission1.1 / 5.6Pressure7.2 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Shahbazyan
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Shahbazyan
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shahbazyan
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0

Shahbazyan · Last 5

Upcoming
Brunno Ferreira
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Brendan Allen
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre Muniz
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre Petroski
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan Budka
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

Hernandez · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Gregory Rodrigues
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
L · KO · R3
Sean Strickland
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman Dolidze
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan Allen
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel Pereira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Edmen Shahbazyan · Anthony Hernandez
← Back to fights
DAFABETBet on UFC & MMA · Competitive odds on every main card
18+ · Gamble ResponsiblyBET NOW ↗
🥊 Bet Now
Our trusted bookmakers
Trusted Bookmakers
⚡
Cloudbet
Crypto sports betting
CRYPTO
🎁 New customer offer: 100% up to 5 BTC welcome bonus
BET NOW→
🎯
Dafabet
MMA & UFC specialist
SPORTS
🎁 New customer offer: Competitive odds on every main card
BET NOW→
18+ · Gamble Responsibly. Odds shown are best available and subject to change. Combatrics may earn commission from bookmaker links. If gambling is affecting you, visit BeGambleAware.org.
🥊
Combatrics Support
Online · Usually replies quickly

👋 Got a question about a fighter, stat or fight? Drop us a message and we'll get back to you.

Combatrics

Powered by Combatrics · We typically reply within a few hours