UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Middleweight
VS
50%
Shahbazyan
50%
Hernandez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:01
Edmen
Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
16 – 5
6'2"75" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 63
AH
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
15 – 3
Pressure Fighter32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Shahbazyan

This is a genuine toss-up — Shahbazyan at 50% vs Hernandez at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Shahbazyan throws more volume but Hernandez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Shahbazyan's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.1
63.7
56.3
Performance Avg
56.2
51
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
98
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
66%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
20
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground19
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
98
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
W · Sub · R2
Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
78%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
5
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shahbazyan
Hernandez
Striking8.0 / 3.7Volume3.1 / 3.3Grappling1.4 / 5.0Wrestling1.0 / 3.5Submission1.1 / 5.6Pressure7.4 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Shahbazyan
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Shahbazyan
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shahbazyan
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0

Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.3L6.4L4.2L5.2W5.4L5.0W3.8L5.0W5.0W5.9W2018-112020-082023-052025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Hernandez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0102.8L6.3W2.1L6.5W4.5W5.5W6.9W6.2W6.1W5.8W6.8W3.9L2019-022021-022023-052025-022026-02
WinLossTrend

Shahbazyan · Last 5

Upcoming
Brendan Allen
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

Hernandez · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Sean StricklandRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman DolidzeRating 6.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel PereiraRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Roman KopylovRating 6.2
Submission
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

News & Media

Edmen Shahbazyan · Anthony Hernandez
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