METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Women's Strawweight
VS
88%
Dern
12%
Cifers
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:36
★ Official Result
Mackenzie DernwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:36
def. Hannah Cifers · UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dern
→
Actual result
Dern wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Dern is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dern has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Cifers has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DernCifers
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dern
Cifers
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'1"
63"+
Reach
62"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dern
Cifers
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
7.9
52.7
Performance Avg
26.4
41
Quality of Victory
25
94
Momentum Score
20
Dern
Cifers
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
0.9
6.1
Style: Volume
8.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
1
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Dern
Cifers
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dern
Cifers
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
20
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Dern
Cifers
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
20
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Dern
Cifers
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dern
Cifers
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
DernCifers
Strike Zones
Dern
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedCifers
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dern targets the head (40% of attacks) — Cifers absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Cifers targets the head (43% of attacks) — Dern absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dern
RND
Cifers
0/0R00/0
Dern · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Gillian RobertsonDecision
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Dec · R5
Virna JandirobaDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Amanda RibasSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Cifers · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Mallory MartinSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Sub · R1
Mariya AgapovaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · KO · R2
Angela HillKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
W · Dec · R3
Jodie EsquibelDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
