UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Dallas, USA
15 Mar 2014
Lightweight
VS
49%
Forte
51%
Trevino
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Trevino
This is a genuine toss-up — Forte at 49% vs Trevino at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Trevino has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Forte's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Forte
Trevino
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Forte
Trevino
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.8
10.3
25.0
Performance Avg
28.3
25
Quality of Victory
25
33
Momentum Score
27
Forte
Trevino
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
32%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
17
2
Body
2
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
3Distance13
4Clinch12
0Ground0
Forte
Trevino
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Forte
Trevino
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Forte
Trevino
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
27
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Forte
Trevino
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Forte
Trevino
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
ForteTrevino
Strike Zones
Forte
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTrevino
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Forte targets the head (71% of attacks) — Trevino absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Trevino targets the head (68% of attacks) — Forte absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Forte
RND
Trevino
0/0R00/0
Forte · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Trevino · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Forte · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrevinoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
L · KO · R1
John MakdessiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Terry EtimRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 4Submission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
Trevino · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Sage NorthcuttRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Johnny CaseRating 5.5Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Renee ForteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03