Jared Cannonier vs Gregory Rodrigues — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues

Las Vegas, USA

15 Feb 2025

Middleweight

45%

Cannonier

55%

Rodrigues

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 4 · 0:21

Jared Cannonier

"The Killa Gorilla"

18 – 9

5'11"77" reachSwitch42 yrs2-fight slideStriker

CFR 54

Gregory Rodrigues

"Robocop"

19 – 6

Striker4-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"

CFR 66

★ Official Result

Jared CannonierwinsKO/TKOR4 · 0:21

def. Gregory Rodrigues · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Rodrigues

→

Actual result

Cannonier wins

KO/TKO · R4

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Cannonier at 45% vs Rodrigues at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Cannonier's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodrigues has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

CannonierRodrigues

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Cannonier

Rodrigues

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"

Height

+6'3"

77"+

Reach

75"

Age

+34

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

Cannonier

Rodrigues

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

53.5

65.6

48.2

Performance Avg

58.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Cannonier

Rodrigues

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.4

/ 10

7.9

/ 10

6.0

Style: Pressure

6.8

4.0

Style: Volume

4.5

7 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

7 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance0

5Clinch0

0Ground0

Cannonier

Rodrigues

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.9

/ 10

0.9

/ 10

0.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.6

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Cannonier

Rodrigues

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.5 stoppage

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

4 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

21/27 fights

Chin rating based on

14/25 fights

Cannonier

Rodrigues

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

4-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R4

L · Dec · R5

L · KO · R4

Last 5

W · Dec · R5

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · KO · R4

Cannonier

Rodrigues

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

64%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cannonier

Rodrigues

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.9

0.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.9

0.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.6

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.8

4.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.5

Cannonier

Strike Zones

Rodrigues

Cannonier

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Rodrigues

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Cannonier targets the head (78% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cannonier

RND

Rodrigues

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

0/0R20/0

Cannonier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Christian Leroy Duncan

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07

L · Dec · R3

Michael Page

Decision

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · KO · R4

Gregory Rodrigues

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

L · Dec · R5

Caio Borralho

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

L · KO · R4

Nassourdine Imavov

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

Rodrigues · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Anthony Hernandez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08

W · KO · R1

Brunno Ferreira

KO/TKO

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Roman Kopylov

Decision

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Jack Hermansson

KO/TKO

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

L · KO · R4

Jared Cannonier

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

News & Media

Jared Cannonier · Gregory Rodrigues

← Back to fights