UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Featherweight
VS
85%
Minner
15%
Laramie
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Minner
Minner is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Minner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Minner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Minner's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Minner
Laramie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
66"
36
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Minner
Laramie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
3.8
37.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Minner
Laramie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.3
77%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
13
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
13Clinch0
0Ground0
Minner
Laramie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Minner
Laramie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/40 fights
Chin rating based on
2/17 fights
Minner
Laramie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Minner
Laramie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Minner
Laramie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MinnerLaramie
Strike Zones
Minner
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedLaramie
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Minner targets the body (87% of attacks) — Laramie absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Minner
RND
Laramie
0/0R00/0
Minner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Laramie · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Minner · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan HallRating 5.5Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Darren ElkinsRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
W · Sub · R1
TJ LaramieRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
Laramie · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Sub · R1
Darrick MinnerRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09