UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
45%
Wood
55%
Moroz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Moroz
This is a genuine toss-up — Wood at 45% vs Moroz at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wood has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Wood's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Wood
Moroz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+67"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wood
Moroz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.5
46.9
39.8
Performance Avg
40.3
31
Quality of Victory
34
68
Momentum Score
90
Wood
Moroz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.3
1.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
35%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
42
Head
41
17
Body
11
15
Leg
0
RangeRange
64Distance44
10Clinch8
0Ground0
Wood
Moroz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wood
Moroz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/25 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Wood
Moroz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
90
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Wood
Moroz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wood
Moroz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
WoodMoroz
Strike Zones
Wood
Attacking
74 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedMoroz
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
74 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the head (57% of attacks) — Moroz absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Moroz targets the head (79% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wood
RND
Moroz
0/0R00/0
Wood · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Moroz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Wood · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 5.1Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R1
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UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
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UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Moroz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Karine SilvaRating 2.7Submission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
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W · Sub · R2
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W · Dec · R3
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