METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Flyweight
VS
26%
Espinosa
74%
Dvorak
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
David DvorakwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jordan Espinosa · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dvorak
→
Actual result
Dvorak wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dvorak is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EspinosaDvorak
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Espinosa
Dvorak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
68"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Espinosa
Dvorak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.5
33.2
28.3
Performance Avg
40.8
25
Quality of Victory
35
45
Momentum Score
43
Espinosa
Dvorak
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
3.8
8.7
Style: Volume
6.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
7
Body
4
9
Leg
14
RangeRange
18Distance26
2Clinch5
0Ground0
Espinosa
Dvorak
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Espinosa
Dvorak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/24 fights
Chin rating based on
6/26 fights
Espinosa
Dvorak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Espinosa
Dvorak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Espinosa
Dvorak
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
EspinosaDvorak
Strike Zones
Espinosa
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedDvorak
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Espinosa targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Dvorak absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Dvorak targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Espinosa absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Espinosa
RND
Dvorak
0/0R00/0
Espinosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottDecision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
David DvorakDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Mark De La RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · Sub · R1
Alex PerezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R1
Matt SchnellSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
Dvorak · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegDecision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Manel KapeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Matheus NicolauDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · Sub · R1
Juancamilo RonderosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Jordan EspinosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09