The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Nov 2006
Middleweight
VS
57%
Smith
43%
Sell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Smith
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 57% vs Sell at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sell has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Smith
Sell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
70"
Reach
+75"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Sell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
12.4
43.0
Performance Avg
32.4
55
Quality of Victory
35
22
Momentum Score
50
Smith
Sell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
44%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
10
0
Body
2
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Smith
Sell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Sell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
10
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Smith
Sell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Smith
Sell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Sell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
SmithSell
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedSell
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (80% of attacks) — Sell absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Sell targets the head (63% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Sell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Sell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Ed HermanRating 2.9Submission
UFC 72: Victory · 2007-06
L · Dec · R3
Patrick CoteRating 5.5Decision
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
W · KO · R2
Pete SellRating 5.2KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Sub · R1
David TerrellRating 1.5Submission
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
Sell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · KO · R3
Nate QuarryRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
L · KO · R2
Scott SmithRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11