METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Brasilia, Brazil
13 Sept 2014
Bantamweight
VS
51%
Alcantara
49%
Doane
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Iuri AlcantarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Russell Doane · UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alcantara
→
Actual result
Alcantara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 51% vs Doane at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Doane has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlcantaraDoane
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alcantara
Doane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
70"
46
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alcantara
Doane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
16.4
48.0
Performance Avg
41.9
41
Quality of Victory
45
49
Momentum Score
49
Alcantara
Doane
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
5.8
5.2
Style: Volume
3.4
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch1
1Ground4
Alcantara
Doane
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alcantara
Doane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
8/23 fights
Alcantara
Doane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
49
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Alcantara
Doane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Doane
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
AlcantaraDoane
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedDoane
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the body (67% of attacks) — Doane absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Doane targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Doane
0/0R00/0
Alcantara · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherSubmission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersSubmission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Doane · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Rani YahyaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Kwan Ho KwakKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Mirsad BekticSubmission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R1
Pedro MunhozSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Jerrod SandersDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07