UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Brasilia, Brazil
13 Sept 2014
Bantamweight
VS
51%
Alcantara
49%
Doane
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
IA
Iuri Alcantara
"Marajo"
3510
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
RD
Russell Doane
158
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alcantara

This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 51% vs Doane at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Doane throws more volume but Alcantara connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Doane has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Alcantara
Doane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
70"
45
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alcantara
Doane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
16.4
48.0
Performance Avg
41.9
41
Quality of Victory
45
49
Momentum Score
49
Alcantara
Doane
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch1
1Ground4
Alcantara
Doane
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alcantara
Doane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
8/23 fights
Alcantara
Doane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
49
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Alcantara
Doane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alcantara
Doane
Striking4.2 / 4.1Volume5.2 / 3.4Grappling2.8 / 3.5Wrestling2.0 / 2.4Submission2.0 / 3.3Pressure5.3 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Alcantara
Strike Zones
Doane
Alcantara
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Doane
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the body (67% of attacks) — Doane absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Doane targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alcantara
RND
Doane
0/0R00/0

Alcantara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W1.8L5.5L5.0W4.2L2011-082014-022016-012018-022018-08
WinLossTrend

Doane · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L2.0L1.5L5.0W4.4L2014-012014-092016-072017-062018-02
WinLossTrend

Alcantara · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8
Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

Doane · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Kwan Ho KwakRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Mirsad BekticRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R1
Pedro MunhozRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Jerrod SandersRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07

News & Media

Iuri Alcantara · Russell Doane
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