UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Lightweight
VS
35%
Smith
65%
Klein
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Klein
Klein holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Smith has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Smith throws more volume but Klein connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smith
Klein
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
76"+
Reach
72"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Smith
Klein
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
58.8
49.5
Performance Avg
49.3
49
Quality of Victory
34
78
Momentum Score
99
Smith
Klein
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
58%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
13
9
Body
11
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance26
8Clinch3
0Ground0
Smith
Klein
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Klein
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
12/29 fights
Smith
Klein
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
99
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Smith
Klein
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Klein
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
SmithKlein
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedKlein
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (50% of attacks) — Klein absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Klein targets the head (45% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Klein
0/0R00/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Klein · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Jamie MullarkeyRating 2.9KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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