METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
20 Sept 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
95%
Tate
5%
Nakai
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Miesha TatewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rin Nakai · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tate
→
Actual result
Tate wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Tate is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tate has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Tate has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tate's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TateNakai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tate
Nakai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'1"
65"
Reach
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tate
Nakai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
2.7
42.5
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
94
Momentum Score
0
Tate
Nakai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
0.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
29%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
4
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
9Clinch3
0Ground0
Tate
Nakai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tate
Nakai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Tate
Nakai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Tate
Nakai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tate
Nakai
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TateNakai
Strike Zones
Tate
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedNakai
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tate targets the head (55% of attacks) — Nakai absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Nakai targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tate
RND
Nakai
0/0R00/0
Tate · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Nakai · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Tate · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
Nakai · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Leslie SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09