METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
20 Sept 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
95%
Tate
5%
Nakai
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Miesha TatewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rin Nakai · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tate
→
Actual result
Tate wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Tate is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tate has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Risk flags
Tate's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TateNakai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tate
Nakai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'1"
65"
Reach
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tate
Nakai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
2.7
42.5
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
94
Momentum Score
0
Tate
Nakai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.6
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
4
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
9Clinch3
0Ground0
Tate
Nakai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tate
Nakai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Tate
Nakai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Tate
Nakai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tate
Nakai
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TateNakai
Strike Zones
Tate
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedNakai
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tate targets the head (55% of attacks) — Nakai absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Nakai targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tate
RND
Nakai
0/0R00/0
Tate · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
Nakai · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Leslie SmithDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Miesha TateDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09