UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
20 Sept 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
95%
Tate
5%
Nakai
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Miesha
Miesha Tate
"Cupcake"
20 – 10
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 53
RN
Rin Nakai
19 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox5'1"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tate

Tate is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tate has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.

Tate has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tate's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tate
Nakai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'1"
65"
Reach
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tate
Nakai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
2.7
42.5
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
94
Momentum Score
0
Tate
Nakai
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
29%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
4
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
9Clinch3
0Ground0
Tate
Nakai
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tate
Nakai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Tate
Nakai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Tate
Nakai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tate
Nakai
Striking2.4 / 0.0Volume5.6 / 0.0Grappling3.7 / 0.0Wrestling2.6 / 0.0Submission2.9 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Tate
Strike Zones
Nakai
Tate
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Nakai
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tate targets the head (55% of attacks) — Nakai absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Nakai targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tate
RND
Nakai
0/0R00/0

Tate · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.0L2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.6W2.7L6.1L5.5W5.9L6.3L6.3W5.6L2013-042015-012016-112023-122025-05
WinLossTrend

Nakai · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.4L5.5L2014-092016-03
WinLossTrend

Tate · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07

Nakai · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Leslie SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09

News & Media

Miesha Tate · Rin Nakai
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