UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2
Las Vegas, USA
16 Apr 2005
Middleweight
VS
48%
Lindland
52%
Lutter
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:13
ML
Matt Lindland
"The Law"
22 – 9
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw56 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 21
TL
Travis Lutter
"The Serial Killer"
10 – 6
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide53 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lutter

This is a genuine toss-up — Lindland at 48% vs Lutter at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lutter has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.

Lindland has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lindland's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lutter has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lindland
Lutter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
+75"
56
Age
+53
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lindland
Lutter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
22.2
53.0
Performance Avg
59.8
38
Quality of Victory
78
100
Momentum Score
59
Lindland
Lutter
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.0
44%
Strike Accuracy
10%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Lindland
Lutter
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lindland
Lutter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/31 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Lindland
Lutter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Lindland
Lutter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lindland
Lutter
Striking4.8 / 5.7Volume5.1 / 0.7Grappling2.0 / 4.0Wrestling1.4 / 2.8Submission1.1 / 5.0Pressure5.4 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Lindland
Strike Zones
Lutter
Lindland
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Lutter
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lindland targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lutter absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lindland
RND
Lutter
0/0R00/0

Lindland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W2.8L4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5W1.5L5.2W4.5W2000-122002-032003-022004-082005-08
WinLossTrend

Lutter · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.2W2.8L5.5L5.0W2.8L2.8L2004-102005-042005-082006-112007-022008-04
WinLossTrend

Lindland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Joe DoerksenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Travis LutterRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
L · KO · R1
David TerrellRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
W · KO · R3
Falaniko VitaleRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
L · KO · R1
Falaniko VitaleRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06

Lutter · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Rich FranklinRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
L · Sub · R2
Anderson SilvaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
W · Sub · R1
Patrick CoteRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
L · Sub · R2
Matt LindlandRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04

News & Media

Matt Lindland · Travis Lutter
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