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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Catch Weight
VS
50%
Musayev
50%
Orolbai
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:35
Tofiq
Tofiq Musayev
236
5'9"69" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 60
Myktybek
Myktybek Orolbai
162
Well-Rounded28 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 59
★ Official Result
Myktybek OrolbaiwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:35
def. Tofiq Musayev · UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Musayev
Actual result
Orolbai wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Musayev at 50% vs Orolbai at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MusayevOrolbai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Musayev
Orolbai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+74"
36
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Musayev
Orolbai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.5
59.0
50.7
Performance Avg
54.2
40
Quality of Victory
43
85
Momentum Score
69
Musayev
Orolbai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
6.3
5.3
Style: Volume
4.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Musayev
Orolbai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Musayev
Orolbai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Strikes absorbed / min
3/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Musayev
Orolbai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
69
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Musayev
Orolbai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Musayev
Orolbai
Striking6.3 / 3.4Volume5.3 / 4.6Grappling1.2 / 4.2Wrestling0.8 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure5.5 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Musayev
Strike Zones
Orolbai
Musayev
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Orolbai
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Musayev targets the body (100% of attacks) — Orolbai absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Orolbai targets the head (100% of attacks) — Musayev absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Musayev
RND
Orolbai
0/0R00/0

Musayev · Last 3

W · KO · R2
Ludovit Klein
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio Bahamondes
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Myktybek Orolbai
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06

Orolbai · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Jeremiah Wells
Submission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Chris Curtis
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Jack Hermansson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Tofiq Musayev
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz Rebecki
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

News & Media

Tofiq Musayev · Myktybek Orolbai
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