METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Catch Weight
VS
37%
Musayev
63%
Orolbai
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:35
★ Official Result
Myktybek OrolbaiwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:35
def. Tofiq Musayev · UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Orolbai
→
Actual result
Orolbai wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Orolbai holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Musayev has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Orolbai has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Orolbai throws more volume but Musayev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MusayevOrolbai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Musayev
Orolbai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+74"
36
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Musayev
Orolbai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
67.1
35.0
Performance Avg
59.0
25
Quality of Victory
43
55
Momentum Score
92
Musayev
Orolbai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Musayev
Orolbai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.9
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Musayev
Orolbai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/29 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Musayev
Orolbai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
92
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Musayev
Orolbai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Musayev
Orolbai
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
MusayevOrolbai
Strike Zones
Musayev
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedOrolbai
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Musayev targets the body (100% of attacks) — Orolbai absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Orolbai targets the head (100% of attacks) — Musayev absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Musayev
RND
Orolbai
0/0R00/0
Musayev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Orolbai · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Musayev · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
Orolbai · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Tofiq MusayevRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05