METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Jun 2017
Bantamweight
VS
63%
Eduardo
37%
Lopez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:57
★ Official Result
Matthew LopezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:57
def. Johnny Eduardo · UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Eduardo
→
Actual result
Lopez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Eduardo holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Lopez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lopez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Eduardo's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lopez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EduardoLopez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Eduardo
Lopez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
47
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Eduardo
Lopez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.2
13.7
43.0
Performance Avg
38.8
47
Quality of Victory
43
30
Momentum Score
33
Eduardo
Lopez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
60%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
43
0
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground39
Eduardo
Lopez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Eduardo
Lopez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
42
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/41 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Eduardo
Lopez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Eduardo
Lopez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Eduardo
Lopez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
EduardoLopez
Strike Zones
Eduardo
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedLopez
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Eduardo targets the head (69% of attacks) — Lopez absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Lopez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Eduardo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Eduardo
RND
Lopez
0/0R00/0
Eduardo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Lopez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Eduardo · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alejandro PerezRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Nathaniel WoodRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Matthew LopezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · KO · R2
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
Lopez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaRating 5.9Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R3
Raphael AssuncaoRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny EduardoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Mitch GagnonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12