METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Jun 2017
Bantamweight
VS
63%
Eduardo
37%
Lopez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:57
★ Official Result
Matthew LopezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:57
def. Johnny Eduardo · UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Eduardo
→
Actual result
Lopez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Eduardo holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Lopez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Eduardo's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lopez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EduardoLopez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Eduardo
Lopez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
48
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Eduardo
Lopez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.2
13.7
43.0
Performance Avg
38.8
47
Quality of Victory
43
30
Momentum Score
33
Eduardo
Lopez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
4.5
3.4
Style: Volume
4.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
43
0
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground39
Eduardo
Lopez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Eduardo
Lopez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
42
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/41 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Eduardo
Lopez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Eduardo
Lopez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Eduardo
Lopez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
EduardoLopez
Strike Zones
Eduardo
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedLopez
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Eduardo targets the head (69% of attacks) — Lopez absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Lopez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Eduardo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Eduardo
RND
Lopez
0/0R00/0
Eduardo · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alejandro PerezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Nathaniel WoodSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Matthew LopezKO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · KO · R2
Manvel GamburyanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Aljamain SterlingSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
Lopez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaDecision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R3
Raphael AssuncaoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny EduardoKO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Mitch GagnonDecision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12