METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Parkin
11%
Machado
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mick ParkinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Caio Machado · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Parkin
→
Actual result
Parkin wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Parkin is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Parkin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Parkin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ParkinMachado
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Parkin
Machado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
79"+
Reach
78"
30+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Parkin
Machado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.2
6.8
52.2
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Parkin
Machado
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
2.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
19
1
Body
13
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
21Distance35
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Parkin
Machado
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Parkin
Machado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Parkin
Machado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Parkin
Machado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Parkin
Machado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ParkinMachado
Strike Zones
Parkin
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedMachado
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Parkin targets the head (87% of attacks) — Machado absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Machado targets the head (54% of attacks) — Parkin absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Parkin
RND
Machado
0/0R00/0
Parkin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Machado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Parkin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Machado · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Brendson RibeiroRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11