★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
Las Vegas, USA
14 Dec 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
50%
Nunes
50%
Randamie
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nunes
This is a genuine toss-up — Nunes at 50% vs Randamie at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nunes
Randamie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+71"
37+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Randamie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
58.3
75.2
Performance Avg
56.2
66
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
97
Nunes
Randamie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nunes
Randamie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
1.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Randamie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Nunes
Randamie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
97
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Nunes
Randamie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
57%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Randamie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
NunesRandamie
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedRandamie
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Randamie targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Randamie
0/0R00/0
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Randamie · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Randamie · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaRating 7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aspen LaddRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11