METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
73%
Preux
27%
Cavalcante
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ovince Saint PreuxwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rafael Cavalcante · UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Preux
→
Actual result
Preux wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Preux is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cavalcante has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Preux's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cavalcante has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PreuxCavalcante
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Preux
Cavalcante
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
74"
43+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Preux
Cavalcante
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.7
17.2
50.2
Performance Avg
44.0
48
Quality of Victory
60
72
Momentum Score
39
Preux
Cavalcante
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
7.6
3.2
Style: Volume
0.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance1
2Clinch0
19Ground1
Preux
Cavalcante
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Preux
Cavalcante
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/45 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Preux
Cavalcante
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
39
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Preux
Cavalcante
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Preux
Cavalcante
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
PreuxCavalcante
Strike Zones
Preux
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedCavalcante
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Preux targets the head (93% of attacks) — Cavalcante absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Cavalcante targets the head (100% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Preux
RND
Cavalcante
0/0R00/0
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxDecision
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L · KO · R3
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