METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Welterweight
VS
50%
Edwards
50%
Brady
Win Probability
Submission
Round 4 · 1:39
★ Official Result
Sean BradywinsSubmissionR4 · 1:39
def. Leon Edwards · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Edwards
→
Actual result
Brady wins
Submission · R4
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 50% vs Brady at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brady has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EdwardsBrady
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Edwards
Brady
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
72"
35
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Brady
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
57.4
51.1
Performance Avg
53.7
36
Quality of Victory
35
95
Momentum Score
84
Edwards
Brady
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
5.6
7.2
Style: Volume
6.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Edwards
Brady
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Brady
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Edwards
Brady
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
84
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Edwards
Brady
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
44%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Brady
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
EdwardsBrady
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBrady
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brady targets the head (60% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Brady
0/0R00/0
Edwards · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R4
Sean BradySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Brady · Last 5
Upcoming
Gabriel BonfimUFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · 2026-11
W · Dec · R3
Joaquin BuckleyDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R4
Leon EdwardsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09