UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Welterweight
VS
50%
Edwards
50%
Brady
Win Probability
Submission
Round 4 · 1:39
Leon
Leon Edwards
"Rocky"
22 – 6
6'2"74" reachSouthpaw34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Sean
Sean Brady
19 – 2
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Edwards

This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 50% vs Brady at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Brady throws more volume but Edwards connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brady has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Edwards
Brady
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
72"
34
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Brady
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
57.4
51.1
Performance Avg
53.7
36
Quality of Victory
35
95
Momentum Score
84
Edwards
Brady
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Edwards
Brady
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.9
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Brady
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
Edwards
Brady
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
84
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
Edwards
Brady
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
44%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edwards
Brady
Striking3.6 / 1.6Volume7.2 / 6.1Grappling2.3 / 4.9Wrestling1.6 / 3.4Submission0.7 / 4.4Pressure4.2 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Edwards
Strike Zones
Brady
Edwards
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Brady
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brady targets the head (60% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edwards
RND
Brady
0/0R00/0

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.0W4.5W6.6L4.5W5.5W6.0W4.9W5.5W4.5W5.6W4.7W4.5W6.6W5.6W5.8W6.6L4.5L5.0L2014-112016-102019-032023-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Brady · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.7W5.0W5.2W6.5W5.3W3.8L5.8W4.7W6.5W3.6L5.7W2019-102021-032023-122025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Edwards · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R4
Sean BradyRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Brady · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R4
Leon EdwardsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

News & Media

Leon Edwards · Sean Brady
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