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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Houston, USA
21 Feb 2026
Middleweight
VS
53%
Reese
47%
Pereira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Zach
Zach Reese
"Savage"
10 – 3
6'4"77" reachSwitch32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Michel
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
32 – 14
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 46
★ Official Result
Michel PereirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Zach Reese · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reese
→
Actual result
Pereira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Reese at 53% vs Pereira at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Reese's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pereira has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ReesePereira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reese
Pereira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
73"
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Reese
Pereira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
46.0
43.9
Performance Avg
48.9
40
Quality of Victory
40
88
Momentum Score
39
Reese
Pereira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
5.4
5.0
Style: Volume
5.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
11
Body
12
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
26Distance22
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Reese
Pereira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reese
Pereira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
48
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
16/46 fights
Reese
Pereira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Reese
Pereira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reese
Pereira
Striking3.5 / 3.3Volume5.0 / 5.3Grappling3.2 / 3.6Wrestling2.2 / 2.5Submission2.5 / 3.0Pressure5.0 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Reese
Strike Zones
Pereira
Reese
Attacking
11HEAD11BODY5LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD12BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Pereira
Attacking
9HEAD12BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD11BODY5LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Reese targets the head (41% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Pereira targets the body (52% of attacks) — Reese absorbs 52% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reese
RND
Pereira
0/0R00/0

Reese · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ryan Gandra
KO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michel Pereira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R2
Jackson McVey
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
Upcoming
Sedriques Dumas
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Dusko Todorovic
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05

Pereira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Shara Magomedov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach Reese
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle Daukaus
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus Magomedov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony Hernandez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Zach Reese · Michel Pereira
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