METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Middleweight
VS
50%
Miller
50%
Marquardt
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nate MarquardtwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Miller · UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Marquardt wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 50% vs Marquardt at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marquardt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerMarquardt
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Marquardt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
45+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Marquardt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
16.8
43.7
Performance Avg
48.6
42
Quality of Victory
46
51
Momentum Score
59
Miller
Marquardt
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
6.4
3.6
Style: Volume
3.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
20
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance9
1Clinch0
0Ground12
Miller
Marquardt
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.3
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Marquardt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
25/54 fights
Miller
Marquardt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Miller
Marquardt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
69%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Marquardt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
MillerMarquardt
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedMarquardt
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (67% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Marquardt targets the head (95% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Marquardt
0/0R00/0
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Jordan MeinKO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Sub · R3
Ricardo FunchSubmission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesDecision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtDecision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
Marquardt · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortDecision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosKO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05