METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Middleweight
VS
50%
Miller
50%
Marquardt
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nate MarquardtwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Miller · UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Marquardt wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 50% vs Marquardt at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Marquardt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marquardt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerMarquardt
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Marquardt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
45+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Marquardt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
16.8
43.7
Performance Avg
48.6
42
Quality of Victory
46
51
Momentum Score
59
Miller
Marquardt
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.1
37%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
20
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance9
1Clinch0
0Ground12
Miller
Marquardt
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Marquardt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
25/54 fights
Miller
Marquardt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Miller
Marquardt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
69%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Marquardt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
MillerMarquardt
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedMarquardt
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (67% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Marquardt targets the head (95% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Marquardt
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Marquardt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Jordan MeinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Sub · R3
Ricardo FunchRating 5.5Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
Marquardt · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05