Manel Kape vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo

Las Vegas, USA

4 Dec 2021

Flyweight

69%

Kape

31%

Zhumagulov

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 4:02

Manel Kape

"StarBoy"

22 – 7

5'5"68" reachSouthpaw32 yrs4-fight win streakKnockout Artist

CFR 73

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

14 – 9

Submission Hunter4-fight slide38 yrsSwitch66" reach5'4"

CFR 33

★ Official Result

Manel KapewinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:02

def. Zhalgas Zhumagulov · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Kape

→

Actual result

Kape wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Kape holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Zhumagulov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Zhumagulov has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

KapeZhumagulov

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Kape

Zhumagulov

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'5"+

Height

5'4"

68"+

Reach

66"

32+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

Kape

Zhumagulov

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

72.8

33.0

65.8

Performance Avg

38.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Kape

Zhumagulov

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.9

/ 10

0.3

/ 10

7.4

Style: Pressure

7.4

3.5

Style: Volume

0.3

6 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

53Distance31

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Kape

Zhumagulov

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.6

/ 10

8.0

/ 10

0.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

5.6

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

10.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Kape

Zhumagulov

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/29 fights

Chin rating based on

7/23 fights

Kape

Zhumagulov

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

W · KO · R3

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

Kape

Zhumagulov

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

75%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kape

Zhumagulov

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

8.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.3

0.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

8.0

0.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

5.6

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

10.0

7.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.4

3.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.3

Kape

Strike Zones

Zhumagulov

Kape

Attacking

53 landed

Absorbing

31 absorbed

Zhumagulov

Attacking

31 landed

Absorbing

53 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Kape targets the head (74% of attacks) — Zhumagulov absorbs 74% of strikes there

🎯Zhumagulov targets the head (61% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kape

RND

Zhumagulov

0/0R00/0

0/0R20/0

Kape · Last 5

W · KO · R3

Kyoji Horiguchi

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

W · KO · R1

Brandon Royval

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

W · KO · R3

Asu Almabayev

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

W · KO · R3

Bruno Silva

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

L · Dec · R3

Muhammad Mokaev

Decision

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Zhumagulov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Joshua Van

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

L · Dec · R3

Charles Johnson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11

L · Dec · R3

Jeff Molina

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06

L · KO · R1

Manel Kape

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

W · Sub · R1

Jerome Rivera

Submission

UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07

News & Media

Manel Kape · Zhalgas Zhumagulov

← Back to fights