METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Tampa, USA
16 Apr 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
35%
Correia
65%
Pennington
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Raquel PenningtonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bethe Correia · UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pennington
→
Actual result
Pennington wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pennington holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Correia has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Correia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pennington has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CorreiaPennington
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Correia
Pennington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
64"
Reach
+67"
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Correia
Pennington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.0
46.8
36.8
Performance Avg
46.8
31
Quality of Victory
32
88
Momentum Score
80
Correia
Pennington
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.8
Style: Pressure
3.7
7.3
Style: Volume
7.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
16
5
Body
12
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance17
10Clinch14
0Ground0
Correia
Pennington
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Correia
Pennington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Correia
Pennington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Correia
Pennington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
23%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Correia
Pennington
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
CorreiaPennington
Strike Zones
Correia
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedPennington
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Correia targets the head (70% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Pennington targets the head (52% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Correia
RND
Pennington
0/0R00/0
Correia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
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Pannie KianzadDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaSubmission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddDecision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12