The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Dec 2017
Bantamweight
VS
40%
Soto
60%
Johns
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:30
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johns
Johns holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Soto has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Striking split: Soto throws more volume but Johns connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Soto's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Soto
Johns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+71"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Soto
Johns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
18.9
39.8
Performance Avg
49.5
41
Quality of Victory
35
20
Momentum Score
65
Soto
Johns
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.8
53%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Soto
Johns
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Soto
Johns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Soto
Johns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Soto
Johns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soto
Johns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
SotoJohns
Strike Zones
Soto
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedJohns
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johns targets the head (100% of attacks) — Soto absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soto
RND
Johns
0/0R00/0
Soto · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Johns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Soto · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Sub · R1
Brett JohnsRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Marco BeltranRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R3
Chris BealRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
Johns · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
W · Sub · R3
Tony GravelyRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 6Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R1
Joe SotoRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12