Jimi Manuwa vs Thiago Santos — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega

Toronto, Canada

8 Dec 2018

Light Heavyweight

32%

Manuwa

68%

Santos

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 0:41

Jimi Manuwa

"Poster Boy"

17 – 6

6'1"79" reachOrthodox46 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 15

Thiago Santos

"Marreta"

22 – 11

Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"

CFR 32

★ Official Result

Thiago SantoswinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:41

def. Jimi Manuwa · UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Santos

→

Actual result

Santos wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Santos holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Manuwa has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Manuwa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ManuwaSantos

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Manuwa

Santos

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"

Height

+6'2"

79"+

Reach

76"

Age

+42

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Manuwa

Santos

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

15.1

32.2

45.2

Performance Avg

54.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Manuwa

Santos

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.0

/ 10

9.0

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

7.3

2.3

Style: Volume

2.9

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

11 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance5

0Clinch4

0Ground0

Manuwa

Santos

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

🥊

Pure striking matchup

Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history

Submission wins

Manuwa

Santos

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.6 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/23 fights

Chin rating based on

24/33 fights

Manuwa

Santos

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · KO · R4

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

Manuwa

Santos

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

79%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Manuwa

Santos

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

9.0

0.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.5

0.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.4

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.3

2.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.9

Manuwa

Strike Zones

Santos

Manuwa

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Santos

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Manuwa targets the body (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Santos targets the head (78% of attacks) — Manuwa absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Manuwa

RND

Santos

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Manuwa · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Aleksandar Rakic

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06

L · KO · R2

Thiago Santos

KO/TKO

UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12

L · Dec · R3

Jan Blachowicz

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03

L · KO · R1

Volkan Oezdemir

KO/TKO

UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07

W · KO · R1

Corey Anderson

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R4

Jamahal Hill

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08

L · Dec · R5

Magomed Ankalaev

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03

W · Dec · R5

Johnny Walker

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10

L · Dec · R3

Aleksandar Rakic

Decision

UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03

L · Sub · R3

Glover Teixeira

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11

News & Media

Jimi Manuwa · Thiago Santos

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