UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Sacramento, USA
13 Jul 2019
Featherweight
VS
55%
Elkins
45%
Hall
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Elkins
This is a genuine toss-up — Elkins at 55% vs Hall at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Elkins throws more volume but Hall connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elkins
Hall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Elkins
Hall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.7
36.0
46.3
Performance Avg
60.8
35
Quality of Victory
46
66
Momentum Score
99
Elkins
Hall
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
5
Body
4
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
7Distance13
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Elkins
Hall
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elkins
Hall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
6/11 fights
Elkins
Hall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
99
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Elkins
Hall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
20%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elkins
Hall
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
ElkinsHall
Strike Zones
Elkins
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedHall
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the body (56% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Hall targets the legs (38% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elkins
RND
Hall
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Elkins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7KO/TKO
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