UFC 37.5: As Real As It Gets
Las Vegas, USA
22 Jun 2002
Welterweight
VS
95%
Lawler
5%
Berger
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lawler
Lawler is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lawler has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Risk flags
Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lawler
Berger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
44+
Age
53
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawler
Berger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
2.1
51.0
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
90
Momentum Score
0
Lawler
Berger
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
—
50%
Strike Accuracy
0%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
8 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Lawler
Berger
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawler
Berger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
3/44 fights
Lawler
Berger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Lawler
Berger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
0%
8
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lawler
Berger
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LawlerBerger
Strike Zones
Lawler
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBerger
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (100% of attacks) — Berger absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lawler
RND
Berger
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lawler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Berger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
Berger · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 37.5: As Real As It Gets · 2002-06
Upcoming
Benji RadachUFC 37: High Impact · 2002-05
L · Dec · R3
Tony DeSouzaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05