UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
Las Vegas, USA
29 Apr 2023
Middleweight
VS
57%
Vieira
43%
Brundage
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vieira
This is a genuine toss-up — Vieira at 57% vs Brundage at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brundage has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Vieira's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brundage has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vieira
Brundage
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vieira
Brundage
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
45.2
49.5
Performance Avg
49.0
46
Quality of Victory
53
91
Momentum Score
26
Vieira
Brundage
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
53%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Vieira
Brundage
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
7.1
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
5.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
8.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vieira
Brundage
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Vieira
Brundage
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Vieira
Brundage
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
83%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vieira
Brundage
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
VieiraBrundage
Strike Zones
Vieira
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBrundage
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vieira targets the body (100% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vieira
RND
Brundage
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Vieira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Brundage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Vieira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5Decision
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