UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
39%
Santos
61%
Walker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
TS
Thiago Santos
"Marreta"
22 – 11
6'2"76" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 32
Johnny
Johnny Walker
22 – 10
Knockout Artist34 yrsOrthodox82" reach6'6"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Walker

Walker holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Walker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Walker has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Santos
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'6"
76"
Reach
+82"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
50.4
54.0
Performance Avg
54.6
51
Quality of Victory
56
91
Momentum Score
41
Santos
Walker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
59%
9.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.6
11 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
4
Body
2
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Santos
Walker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/33 fights
Chin rating based on
16/32 fights
Santos
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
41
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
Santos
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
79%
88%
11
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Walker
Striking9.0 / 8.6Volume2.9 / 2.1Grappling0.5 / 1.3Wrestling0.4 / 0.9Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure7.3 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.6
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
Santos
Strike Zones
Walker
Santos
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY4LEGS8 absorbed
Walker
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY4LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the body (40% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W6.3W5.9W6.4W1.5L5.1W6.0W5.2W5.8W7.3L3.1L5.6L5.3W7.0L4.6L2013-082016-052018-022019-072022-08
WinLossTrend

Walker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.9W5.0W5.0W1.5L6.7L5.4W5.5L2.8L5.3W5.7W5.7W3.7L2.3L7.2W6.5L2018-112020-032022-092024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11

Walker · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Zhang MingyangRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Magomed AnkalaevRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Magomed Ankalaev
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

News & Media

Thiago Santos · Johnny Walker
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