METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Sao Paulo, Brazil
7 Nov 2015
Lightweight
VS
42%
Tibau
58%
Trujillo
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Abel TrujillowinsR1 · 1:45
def. Gleison Tibau · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trujillo
→
Actual result
Trujillo wins
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tibau at 42% vs Trujillo at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Trujillo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Tibau's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TibauTrujillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tibau
Trujillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tibau
Trujillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
21.4
43.2
Performance Avg
51.4
34
Quality of Victory
46
74
Momentum Score
90
Tibau
Trujillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
6.2
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
6.5
6.6
Style: Volume
2.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Tibau
Trujillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tibau
Trujillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/47 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Tibau
Trujillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
90
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Tibau
Trujillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tibau
Trujillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
TibauTrujillo
Strike Zones
Tibau
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTrujillo
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tibau targets the head (100% of attacks) — Trujillo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tibau
RND
Trujillo
0/0R00/0
Tibau · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevKO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonSubmission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeDecision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
Trujillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Sub · R3
James VickSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan RinaldiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Tony SimsSubmission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · R1
Gleison TibauUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11