METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Bantamweight
VS
44%
Erceg
56%
Osbourne
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Steve ErcegwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ode Osbourne · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Osbourne
→
Actual result
Erceg wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Erceg at 44% vs Osbourne at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Osbourne has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Erceg's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Osbourne has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ErcegOsbourne
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Erceg
Osbourne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+73"
31+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Erceg
Osbourne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.1
51.3
40.8
Performance Avg
43.7
31
Quality of Victory
45
45
Momentum Score
87
Erceg
Osbourne
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
6.8
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
5.5
7.5
Style: Volume
4.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
2
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Erceg
Osbourne
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Erceg
Osbourne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
16
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/18 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Erceg
Osbourne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
87
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Erceg
Osbourne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Erceg
Osbourne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
ErcegOsbourne
Strike Zones
Erceg
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedOsbourne
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Erceg targets the head (67% of attacks) — Osbourne absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Osbourne targets the head (50% of attacks) — Erceg absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Erceg
RND
Osbourne
0/0R00/0
Erceg · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ramazan TemirovKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Ode OsbourneDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Kai Kara-FranceKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
Osbourne · Last 5
Upcoming
Alibi IdirisUFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Luis GuruleKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Ronaldo RodriguezDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Jafel FilhoSubmission
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