UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Bantamweight
VS
47%
Erceg
53%
Osbourne
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Steve
Steve Erceg
"Astroboy"
14 – 4
5'8"68" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Ode
Ode Osbourne
"The Jamaican Sensation"
13 – 9
Striker34 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'7"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Osbourne

This is a genuine toss-up — Erceg at 47% vs Osbourne at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Osbourne has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Erceg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Osbourne has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Erceg
Osbourne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+73"
30+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Erceg
Osbourne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
51.3
43.6
Performance Avg
43.7
31
Quality of Victory
45
60
Momentum Score
87
Erceg
Osbourne
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
2
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Erceg
Osbourne
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Erceg
Osbourne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
16
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
14/22 fights
Erceg
Osbourne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
87
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Erceg
Osbourne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Erceg
Osbourne
Striking3.3 / 6.8Volume7.7 / 4.0Grappling1.9 / 1.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.3 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Erceg
Strike Zones
Osbourne
Erceg
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Osbourne
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Erceg targets the head (67% of attacks) — Osbourne absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Osbourne targets the head (50% of attacks) — Erceg absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Erceg
RND
Osbourne
0/0R00/0

Erceg · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.9W5.4W6.8L2.4L6.4L5.3W4.6W2023-062024-032024-082025-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Osbourne · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.8L5.0W3.2L4.5W5.0W1.7L5.4W3.9L2.6L6.7L5.2W6.1L2020-012021-112023-022024-092025-08
WinLossTrend

Erceg · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Ode OsbourneRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Kai Kara-FranceRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Alexandre PantojaRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

Osbourne · Last 5

Upcoming
Cody Durden
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
Upcoming
Alibi Idiris
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Luis GuruleRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Ronaldo RodriguezRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

News & Media

Steve Erceg · Ode Osbourne
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