UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Des Moines, USA
3 May 2025
Middleweight
VS
45%
Ridder
55%
Nickal
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nickal
This is a genuine toss-up — Ridder at 45% vs Nickal at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Ridder throws more volume but Nickal connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Ridder
Nickal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
76"
35
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Ridder
Nickal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
68.4
53.5
Performance Avg
62.0
45
Quality of Victory
48
53
Momentum Score
89
Ridder
Nickal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
56%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
10
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance3
11Clinch3
0Ground0
Ridder
Nickal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ridder
Nickal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/9 fights
Ridder
Nickal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
89
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Ridder
Nickal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ridder
Nickal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
RidderNickal
Strike Zones
Ridder
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedNickal
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ridder targets the body (59% of attacks) — Nickal absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Nickal targets the body (50% of attacks) — Ridder absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ridder
RND
Nickal
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ridder · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Nickal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Ridder · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R4
Brendan AllenRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Bo NickalRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
Nickal · Last 5
Upcoming
Kyle DaukausUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Reinier de RidderRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Paul CraigRating 5.2Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R2
Cody BrundageRating 5.8Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

