Christian Leroy Duncan vs Dusko Todorovic — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

London, United Kingdom

18 Mar 2023

Middleweight

62%

Duncan

38%

Todorovic

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:52

Christian Leroy Duncan

"CLD"

14 – 2

6'2"79" reachSwitch31 yrs5-fight win streakStriker

CFR 63

Dusko Todorovic

"Thunder"

13 – 6

Knockout Artist32 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"

CFR 39

★ Official Result

Christian Leroy DuncanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:52

def. Dusko Todorovic · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Duncan

→

Actual result

Duncan wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Duncan holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Todorovic has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Todorovic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Risk flags

Todorovic has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

DuncanTodorovic

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Duncan

Todorovic

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"+

Height

6'1"

79"+

Reach

74"

31+

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

Duncan

Todorovic

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

63.4

39.1

59.0

Performance Avg

48.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Duncan

Todorovic

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.8

/ 10

8.2

/ 10

6.8

Style: Pressure

8.1

4.6

Style: Volume

0.7

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

8Distance4

1Clinch0

0Ground0

Duncan

Todorovic

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.9

/ 10

2.0

/ 10

0.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.4

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.5

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Duncan

Todorovic

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/16 fights

Chin rating based on

11/19 fights

Duncan

Todorovic

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

5-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Duncan

Todorovic

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

63%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duncan

Todorovic

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.8

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

8.2

0.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.0

0.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.4

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

6.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.1

4.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.7

Duncan

Strike Zones

Todorovic

Duncan

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Todorovic

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Duncan targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Todorovic absorbs 44% of strikes there

🎯Todorovic targets the body (50% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duncan

RND

Todorovic

0/0R00/0

Duncan · Last 5

Upcoming

Brendan Allen

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Jared Cannonier

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07

W · Dec · R3

Roman Dolidze

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

W · KO · R2

Marco Tulio

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Eryk Anders

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

Todorovic · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Robert Valentin

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08

W · Sub · R1

Jose Daniel Medina

Submission

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

L · Dec · R3

Zach Reese

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05

L · KO · R1

Mansur Abdul-Malik

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11

L · KO · R1

Christian Leroy Duncan

KO/TKO

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

News & Media

Christian Leroy Duncan · Dusko Todorovic

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