METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Omaha, USA
17 Sept 2008
Middleweight
VS
37%
Belcher
63%
Herman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alan BelcherwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ed Herman · UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Herman
→
Actual result
Belcher wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Herman holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Belcher has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Belcher throws more volume but Herman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Belcher's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BelcherHerman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Belcher
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Belcher
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.4
38.7
53.0
Performance Avg
47.4
48
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
82
Belcher
Herman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
20
0
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance18
2Clinch0
0Ground5
Belcher
Herman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Belcher
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/26 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Belcher
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Belcher
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
69%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
5
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Belcher
Herman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
BelcherHerman
Strike Zones
Belcher
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedHerman
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Belcher targets the head (83% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (87% of attacks) — Belcher absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Belcher
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
Belcher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Herman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Belcher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · KO · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
Patrick CoteRating 5.2Submission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05