UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn
Anaheim, USA
23 Sept 2006
Lightweight
VS
84%
Gurgel
16%
Abbadi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gurgel
Gurgel is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gurgel has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Abbadi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Gurgel
Abbadi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
49
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gurgel
Abbadi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.5
2.4
32.1
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Gurgel
Abbadi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
28%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
19
1
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance18
2Clinch6
0Ground0
Gurgel
Abbadi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gurgel
Abbadi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Gurgel
Abbadi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Gurgel
Abbadi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gurgel
Abbadi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GurgelAbbadi
Strike Zones
Gurgel
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedAbbadi
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gurgel targets the head (94% of attacks) — Abbadi absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Abbadi targets the head (79% of attacks) — Gurgel absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gurgel
RND
Abbadi
0/0R00/0
Gurgel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Abbadi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Gurgel · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aaron RileyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
L · Sub · R3
Cole MillerRating 4Submission
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
W · Dec · R3
John HalversonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
L · Dec · R3
Alvin RobinsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego SaraivaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
Abbadi · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Jorge GurgelRating 5.5Decision
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09
L · Sub · R1
Kalib StarnesRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale · 2006-06