UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Perth, Australia
27 Sept 2025
Featherweight
VS
61%
Jenkins
39%
Taveras
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jenkins
Jenkins holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Taveras has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Taveras throws more volume but Jenkins connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jenkins's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jenkins
Taveras
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Jenkins
Taveras
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
32.4
45.4
Performance Avg
28.3
31
Quality of Victory
25
81
Momentum Score
33
Jenkins
Taveras
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.9
61%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
3Ground5
Jenkins
Taveras
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jenkins
Taveras
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Jenkins
Taveras
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jenkins
Taveras
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jenkins
Taveras
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
JenkinsTaveras
Strike Zones
Jenkins
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTaveras
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jenkins targets the head (75% of attacks) — Taveras absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Taveras targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jenkins absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jenkins
RND
Taveras
0/0R00/0
Jenkins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Taveras · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Jenkins · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Sub · R3
Gabriel SantosRating 4.7Submission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Herbert BurnsRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Chepe MariscalRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamall EmmersRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Taveras · Last 4
Upcoming
Zhu KangjieUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Serhiy SideyRating 5.1Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

