METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Perth, Australia
27 Sept 2025
Featherweight
VS
59%
Jenkins
41%
Taveras
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jack JenkinswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ramon Taveras · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jenkins
→
Actual result
Jenkins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jenkins at 59% vs Taveras at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Jenkins's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JenkinsTaveras
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jenkins
Taveras
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Jenkins
Taveras
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.1
32.4
41.6
Performance Avg
28.3
31
Quality of Victory
25
66
Momentum Score
33
Jenkins
Taveras
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
1.0
7.1
Style: Volume
8.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
3Ground5
Jenkins
Taveras
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jenkins
Taveras
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Jenkins
Taveras
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jenkins
Taveras
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jenkins
Taveras
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
JenkinsTaveras
Strike Zones
Jenkins
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTaveras
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jenkins targets the head (75% of attacks) — Taveras absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Taveras targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jenkins absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jenkins
RND
Taveras
0/0R00/0
Jenkins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Sub · R3
Gabriel SantosSubmission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Herbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Chepe MariscalKO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Taveras · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Jack JenkinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Davey GrantDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Serhiy SideyDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01