UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2006
Middleweight
VS
50%
MacDonald
50%
Leben
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:03
JM
Jason MacDonald
"The Athlete"
2516
6'3"80" reachOrthodox50 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 17
CL
Chris Leben
"The Crippler"
2211
Striker4-fight slide45 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'11"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: MacDonald

This is a genuine toss-up — MacDonald at 50% vs Leben at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Leben throws more volume but MacDonald connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

MacDonald's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Leben has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

MacDonald
Leben
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
73"
50
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
MacDonald
Leben
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
17.4
48.8
Performance Avg
50.5
53
Quality of Victory
48
52
Momentum Score
59
MacDonald
Leben
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch1
0Ground1
MacDonald
Leben
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
MacDonald
Leben
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
14/41 fights
Chin rating based on
22/33 fights
MacDonald
Leben
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
MacDonald
Leben
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
4
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

MacDonald
Leben
Striking4.2 / 6.9Volume0.9 / 3.1Grappling5.3 / 1.9Wrestling3.7 / 1.4Submission6.7 / 1.7Pressure8.3 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
MacDonald
Strike Zones
Leben
MacDonald
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Leben
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (33% of attacks) — Leben absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Leben targets the head (100% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

MacDonald
RND
Leben
0/0R00/0

MacDonald · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0105.2W5.2W2.8L5.2W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.2W1.5L1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L1.5L2006-102007-102008-122011-092012-05
WinLossTrend

Leben · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W2.8L5.5L5.5W5.0W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W5.5W1.5L5.0W2.1L5.8L5.5L4.0L2005-042006-082009-082011-112013-12
WinLossTrend

MacDonald · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tom LawlorRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 5
Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · KO · R1
John SalterRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

Leben · Last 5

L · R1
Uriah HallRating 4
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrew CraigRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · KO · R1
Wanderlei SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07

News & Media

Jason MacDonald · Chris Leben
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