UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2006
Middleweight
VS
50%
MacDonald
50%
Leben
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: MacDonald
This is a genuine toss-up — MacDonald at 50% vs Leben at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Leben throws more volume but MacDonald connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
MacDonald's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Leben has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
MacDonald
Leben
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
73"
50
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
MacDonald
Leben
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
17.4
48.8
Performance Avg
50.5
53
Quality of Victory
48
52
Momentum Score
59
MacDonald
Leben
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch1
0Ground1
MacDonald
Leben
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
MacDonald
Leben
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/41 fights
Chin rating based on
22/33 fights
MacDonald
Leben
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
MacDonald
Leben
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
4
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
MacDonald
Leben
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
MacDonaldLeben
Strike Zones
MacDonald
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedLeben
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (33% of attacks) — Leben absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Leben targets the head (100% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
MacDonald
RND
Leben
0/0R00/0
MacDonald · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Leben · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
MacDonald · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tom LawlorRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 5Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · KO · R1
John SalterRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
Leben · Last 5
L · R1
Uriah HallRating 4UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrew CraigRating 5.5Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · KO · R1
Wanderlei SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07