UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Indianapolis, USA
28 Aug 2013
Bantamweight
VS
42%
Mizugaki
58%
Perez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TM
Takeya Mizugaki
2111
5'7"69" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
EP
Erik Perez
"Goyito"
176
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Perez

This is a genuine toss-up — Mizugaki at 42% vs Perez at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Mizugaki throws more volume but Perez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Mizugaki's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mizugaki
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
69"+
Reach
68"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mizugaki
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
22.3
40.1
Performance Avg
54.6
29
Quality of Victory
39
98
Momentum Score
100
Mizugaki
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
38%
Strike Accuracy
48%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
1
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
3Clinch5
3Ground0
Mizugaki
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mizugaki
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
9/23 fights
Mizugaki
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Mizugaki
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mizugaki
Perez
Striking2.4 / 4.4Volume8.1 / 6.1Grappling2.1 / 2.5Wrestling1.5 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 1.4Pressure2.6 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Mizugaki
Strike Zones
Perez
Mizugaki
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD5BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Perez
Attacking
4HEAD5BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mizugaki targets the head (90% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the body (50% of attacks) — Mizugaki absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mizugaki
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0

Mizugaki · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.0L4.5W2.6L1.5L2011-032012-112014-052016-082016-12
WinLossTrend

Perez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W4.5W4.5W2012-062013-082015-112016-11
WinLossTrend

Mizugaki · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Eddie WinelandRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Dominick CruzRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09

Perez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Felipe ArantesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Sub · R2
Bryan CarawayRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Edwin FigueroaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11

News & Media

Takeya Mizugaki · Erik Perez
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