UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Phoenix, USA
13 Dec 2014
Bantamweight
VS
76%
Cejudo
24%
Kimura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Henry
Henry Cejudo
"Triple C"
16 – 6
5'4"64" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 65
DK
Dustin Kimura
"The Diamond"
11 – 3
Submission Hunter2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cejudo

Cejudo is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cejudo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cejudo's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cejudo
Kimura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
64"
Reach
+71"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cejudo
Kimura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.7
20.3
57.5
Performance Avg
45.7
54
Quality of Victory
50
97
Momentum Score
72
Cejudo
Kimura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.7
54%
Strike Accuracy
24%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
6
10
Body
6
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance13
13Clinch0
0Ground0
Cejudo
Kimura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cejudo
Kimura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Cejudo
Kimura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
72
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Cejudo
Kimura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cejudo
Kimura
Striking5.3 / 0.8Volume6.0 / 0.8Grappling1.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.0 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure4.7 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Cejudo
Strike Zones
Kimura
Cejudo
Attacking
15HEAD10BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD6BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Kimura
Attacking
6HEAD6BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD10BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cejudo targets the head (58% of attacks) — Kimura absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Kimura targets the head (46% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cejudo
RND
Kimura
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cejudo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.1W5.2W5.1W6.5L6.8L6.1L7.0L2014-122016-042018-082023-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Kimura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L7.0L2013-022013-092014-012014-042014-12
WinLossTrend

Cejudo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 7
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

Kimura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Sub · R1
Jon Delos ReyesRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
Mitch GagnonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Sub · R3
Chico CamusRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02

News & Media

Henry Cejudo · Dustin Kimura
← Back to fights