METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Phoenix, USA
13 Dec 2014
Bantamweight
VS
76%
Cejudo
24%
Kimura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Henry CejudowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dustin Kimura · UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cejudo
→
Actual result
Cejudo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cejudo is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Cejudo's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CejudoKimura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cejudo
Kimura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
64"
Reach
+71"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cejudo
Kimura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
20.3
58.4
Performance Avg
45.7
56
Quality of Victory
50
97
Momentum Score
72
Cejudo
Kimura
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
8.2
6.0
Style: Volume
0.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
6
10
Body
6
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance13
13Clinch0
0Ground0
Cejudo
Kimura
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cejudo
Kimura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Cejudo
Kimura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
72
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Cejudo
Kimura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cejudo
Kimura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
CejudoKimura
Strike Zones
Cejudo
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedKimura
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cejudo targets the head (58% of attacks) — Kimura absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Kimura targets the head (46% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cejudo
RND
Kimura
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cejudo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Song YadongDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
Kimura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoDecision
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
George RoopDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Sub · R1
Jon Delos ReyesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
Mitch GagnonSubmission
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Sub · R3
Chico CamusSubmission
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
