UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fairfax, USA
4 Apr 2015
Middleweight
VS
80%
Stallings
20%
Jones
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stallings
Stallings is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stallings has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Stallings has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Stallings
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
43
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Stallings
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
2.7
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
27
Momentum Score
0
Stallings
Jones
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.3
68%
Strike Accuracy
24%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
4
9
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance2
7Clinch4
0Ground0
Stallings
Jones
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stallings
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Stallings
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Stallings
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stallings
Jones
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
StallingsJones
Strike Zones
Stallings
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedJones
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stallings targets the head (58% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (67% of attacks) — Stallings absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stallings
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0
Stallings · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Stallings · Last 3
L · R2
Joe RiggsRating 4.8UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · Dec · R3
Justin JonesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
L · R1
Uriah HallRating 4UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
Jones · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Ron StallingsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12