UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Aug 2013
Welterweight
VS
29%
Moraes
71%
Magny
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Magny
Magny is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Magny has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moraes's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Moraes
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+80"
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
47.5
47.0
Performance Avg
47.4
37
Quality of Victory
36
95
Momentum Score
75
Moraes
Magny
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Moraes
Magny
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraes
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
37/46 fights
Moraes
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
75
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Moraes
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
42%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraes
Magny
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
MoraesMagny
Strike Zones
Moraes
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMagny
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (92% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (86% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraes
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0
Moraes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Magny · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R3
James KrauseRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Magny · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08