METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Aug 2013
Welterweight
VS
28%
Moraes
72%
Magny
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:13
★ Official Result
Sergio MoraeswinsSubmissionR1 · 3:13
def. Neil Magny · UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magny
→
Actual result
Moraes wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Magny is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Moraes's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoraesMagny
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraes
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+80"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
49.4
47.0
Performance Avg
48.3
37
Quality of Victory
37
95
Momentum Score
81
Moraes
Magny
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
5.0
5.2
Style: Volume
5.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Moraes
Magny
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.2
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraes
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
38/46 fights
Moraes
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
81
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Moraes
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
44%
1
KO / TKO Wins
8
3
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraes
Magny
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
MoraesMagny
Strike Zones
Moraes
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMagny
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (92% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (86% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraes
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R3
James KrauseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesKO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Magny · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Ramiz BrahimajKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11