METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2026
Lightweight
VS
52%
Aliev
48%
Davis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nurullo AlievwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mike Davis · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aliev
→
Actual result
Aliev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Aliev at 52% vs Davis at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Davis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlievDavis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aliev
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
25+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aliev
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.8
55.2
55.0
Performance Avg
49.5
25
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
65
Aliev
Davis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
6.1
10.0
Style: Volume
4.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance4
1Clinch1
0Ground2
Aliev
Davis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aliev
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Aliev
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Aliev
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aliev
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
AlievDavis
Strike Zones
Aliev
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedDavis
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aliev targets the body (100% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (43% of attacks) — Aliev absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aliev
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
Aliev · Last 5
Upcoming
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