UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
Nashville, USA
5 Aug 2023
Flyweight
VS
44%
Durden
56%
Hadley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Cody
Cody Durden
"Custom Made"
18 – 10
5'7"67" reachSouthpaw35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 38
Jake
Jake Hadley
"White Kong"
11 – 4
Well-Rounded29 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'7"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hadley

This is a genuine toss-up — Durden at 44% vs Hadley at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hadley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Hadley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Durden's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Durden
Hadley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
35
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Durden
Hadley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.8
48.7
38.8
Performance Avg
44.0
34
Quality of Victory
45
54
Momentum Score
67
Durden
Hadley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
4
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance7
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Durden
Hadley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Durden
Hadley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Durden
Hadley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
67
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Durden
Hadley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Durden
Hadley
Striking2.4 / 4.2Volume6.7 / 3.5Grappling2.9 / 3.5Wrestling2.0 / 2.4Submission1.4 / 3.3Pressure3.4 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Durden
Strike Zones
Hadley
Durden
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY4LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Hadley
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY4LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Durden targets the head (47% of attacks) — Hadley absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Hadley targets the head (86% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Durden
RND
Hadley
0/0R00/0

Durden · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.0L5.3W2.9L5.0W4.5W5.4W5.2W3.8L3.6L5.4W7.1L3.7L4.3L6.6L5.6W2020-122022-102024-072025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Hadley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0107.0L5.2W5.0W5.6L6.4L4.6W5.5L2022-052023-032024-052024-10
WinLossTrend

Durden · Last 5

Upcoming
Ode Osbourne
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Nyamjargal TumendemberelRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Sub · R2
Allan NascimentoRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Jose OchoaRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

Hadley · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Malcolm GordonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

News & Media

Cody Durden · Jake Hadley
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