UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Oct 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
35%
Mazo
65%
Agapova
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 0:53
SM
Sabina Mazo
"Colombian Queen"
9 – 4
5'7"70" reachOrthodox29 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
Mariya
Mariya Agapova
"Money Mashka"
10 – 5
Submission Hunter3-fight slide29 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'6"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Agapova

Agapova holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Mazo has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Agapova has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Mazo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Agapova has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Mazo
Agapova
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
29
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Mazo
Agapova
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.5
40.9
36.1
Performance Avg
43.0
32
Quality of Victory
50
49
Momentum Score
33
Mazo
Agapova
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
1
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Mazo
Agapova
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mazo
Agapova
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Mazo
Agapova
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Mazo
Agapova
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mazo
Agapova
Striking0.9 / 0.7Volume6.2 / 0.7Grappling4.3 / 8.0Wrestling3.0 / 5.6Submission3.3 / 10.0Pressure3.6 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Mazo
Strike Zones
Agapova
Mazo
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Agapova
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mazo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Agapova absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Agapova targets the head (55% of attacks) — Mazo absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mazo
RND
Agapova
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Mazo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.1L4.5W5.1W5.5W5.5L4.3L3.6L2019-032020-012021-022022-03
WinLossTrend

Agapova · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.5W3.3L4.0L3.2L2020-062020-082021-102022-032022-092024-07
WinLossTrend

Mazo · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Miranda MaverickRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Mariya AgapovaRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Alexis DavisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · Sub · R3
Justine KishRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Agapova · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Luana SantosRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Sub · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · Sub · R2
Maryna MorozRating 3.3
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Sub · R3
Sabina MazoRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Shana DobsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08

News & Media

Sabina Mazo · Mariya Agapova
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